From the Summer 2016 issue
International conventional wisdom always seems
unaware of the big changes about to unfold. Ten years
ago, who would have predicted surprise developments
such as negative interest rates or the potential breakup
of the European Union? TIE asked more than fifty top
thinkers to look ahead ten years at what outside-the-box developments could shock the world.
Featuring comment by Henry J. Aaron, Hannes Androsch, Anders Åslund, Stephen Axilrod, Norman A. Bailey, Dean Baker, Jared Bernstein, Reuven Brenner, William E. Brock, Diana Choyleva, Bernard Connolly, W. Bowman Cutter, Marek Dabrowski, Mansoor Dailami, John M. Deutch, Andrew DeWit, Everett M. Ehrlich, Mohamed A. El-Erian, Heiner Flassbeck, Benjamin M. Friedman, Takeshi Fujimaki, Adam Garfinkle, Deborah Gordon, R. Glenn Hubbard, Gary Clyde Hufbauer, Martin Hüfner, Harold James, Richard Jerram, David M. Jones, Gary N. Kleiman, Lawrence J. Korb, Desmond Lachman, Hongyi Lai, Martin C. Libicki, Chong-Pin Lin, Michael Lind, Edward N. Luttwak, Dan Mahaffee, Robert D. McTeer, Kevin G. Nealer, Douglas H. Paal, Rudolph G. Penner, Daniel Pipes, Philippe Riès, Matthew Rojansky, Yoshihiro Sakai, Derek Scissors, Miroslav Singer, Dan Sneider, Stan Veuger, Mike Wackenreuter, and Peter J. Wallison.
My reply to Adams Nager.
Yes and no, says a leading expert.
In less than fifteen years, Europe’s baby boomers will try to collect pensions from the children they didn't have.
For German Chancellor Angela Merkel, they are coming faster than ever.
Leading economist Richard Koo of Nomura Research Institute sat down with TIE founder and editor David Smick to discuss balance sheet recessions and what policymakers need to do to rescue their economies. Koo's most recent book is The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap: A Hazardous Road for the World Economy
An assessment of the Mahbubani-Summers thesis.
The policy significance of today’s low interest rates.
The downside to aggressive monetary policy.
We note with sadness the passing of Dr. Wolf on October 24, 2016. He was a regular contributor to TIE for nearly three decades. Please read more at "Charles Wolf Jr. Dies at 92; Founding Dean of RAND's Graduate School Pioneered Modern Policy Analysis" and "Remembering a mentor: Charles Wolf, Jr."
Author Todd Buchholz talks with TIE's David Smick about his latest book, The Price of Prosperity.
The Frog in the Boiling Water: Japan struggles to free itself from nearly a quarter-century of stagnation and deflation.
Measuring innovation, India's secret weapon, shrinking populations, and global growth through the ages.